Indian Summer Ahead for Star Valley

Indian Summer Ahead for Star Valley

After a near record dry summer the first two weeks of October saw much needed precipitation fall across much of the interior Western U.S. including Star Valley.

The following image shows the amount of precipitation that has fallen across the Wyoming area.

Total Precipitation October 1-14 2018

 

Once again the long range model forecasts indicate that the region is going to enter a period of dry and unseasonably mild weather the remainder of October. The storm track will shift back to the north across Canada.  This is quite obvious from the model forecast for next Sunday.  The upper high is located near Wyoming.

500 mb forecast Sunday October 21 2018

This results in a period of Indian Summer across much of the west.  By definition :

An Indian summer is a name often used to describe a warm, calm spell of weather that occurs in autumn. … The Met Office Meteorological Glossary first published in 1916, defines an Indian summer as ‘a warm, calm spell of weather occurring in autumn, especially in October and November.

 

Such is the cast this year.  The forecast for total precipitation for the coming  week clearly shows the dry period ahead

Total forecast precipitation ending Sunday October 21 2018

Looking ahead toward early November the Indian Summer pattern continues:

Forecast temperature departure from normal October 27-November 9 2018

 

 

Precipitation departure from normal October 27-November 9 2018